Lazio vs Bologna Nigeria odds comparison

Lazio host Bologna on 7 December 2025 in a Serie A clash that could shape the latter stages of the campaign. Both clubs arrive in decent form – Lazio have secured two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five outings, scoring three and conceding two, while Bologna are unbeaten with three wins and two draws, netting eight and letting in only one. The disparity in recent attacking output (Lazio 0.6 goals per game vs Bologna 1.6) and defensive solidity (Lazio 0.4 goals conceded per game vs Bologna 0.2) hints at a potential edge for the visitors. Historically the rivalry favours Lazio, who have three home wins to Bologna’s single away win in five meetings, though the most recent encounter in March 2025 ended 5‑0 for Lazio. The fixture therefore pits a modestly scoring home side against an in‑form, high‑scoring Bologna side, making the outcome uncertain but crucial for both teams’ league ambitions.

Across the two clubs the numbers reveal contrasting trends. Lazio have produced only three goals in five games (0.6 per match) and kept the opposition to two goals, reflecting a defensive emphasis and limited attacking firepower. Their clean‑sheet rate stands at 60% (three matches without conceding). Bologna, by contrast, average 1.6 goals per game and have conceded just once, delivering a clean‑sheet rate of 40% but a much higher scoring frequency. Both sides show a propensity for low‑scoring draws – Lazio with two 0‑0 stalemates and Bologna with two scoreless games. Timing of goals is notable: Bologna’s goals often arrive after the 45‑minute mark (Pobega’s 54' and 59', Dallinga’s 50'), suggesting strong second‑half stamina. Lazio’s few goals have come early (Basic at 9', Isaksen at 65'), indicating the ability to break the deadlock quickly but lacking follow‑up. The disparity in goal‑creation versus defence hints that a match could feature few chances, but Bologna’s recent late‑game strikes may tip the balance if the game remains level into the second half.

Lazio’s schedule after the 7 Dec clash includes a home game against Lecce on 23 Nov, followed by a difficult away fixture at Milan on 29 Nov and a Coppa Italia tie at home versus Milan on 4 Dec. A positive result against Bologna could boost confidence heading into the Lecce match and provide momentum for the high‑profile Milan encounters. Bologna’s next engagements are an Europa League home tie with Salzburg on 27 Nov, then a Serie A home clash with Cremonese on 1 Dec and a Coppa Italia home game versus Parma on 4 Dec. Securing points against Lazio would preserve their unbeaten run and sustain their attacking rhythm before the Salzburg test, where they will need to maintain defensive discipline. Both clubs therefore have incentives to treat the December 7 fixture as a catalyst for the upcoming congested period.

Based on the data, Lazio’s modest attacking output (0.6 gpm) and strong defence (0.4 gpc) contrast with Bologna’s high‑scoring but still solid defensive record (1.6 gpm, 0.2 gpc). Lazio have the home advantage and a history of dominant home performances against Bologna, yet Bologna’s recent second‑half goals suggest they can break through a tight defence. The numbers suggest a tight contest with a slight edge to the visitors in terms of firepower. A plausible prediction is a 1‑1 draw, with Lazio likely to open the scoring early (perhaps via a set‑piece or a quick move) and Bologna equalising after halftime, reflecting their pattern of late goals.

The combined goal average for the two sides sits at 2.2 per match, implying the Over 2.5 market carries moderate risk. Given Lazio’s low scoring rate and Bologna’s propensity for late goals, an Under 2.5 bet appears sensible, especially if Lazio manage a first‑half goal. Both teams have kept clean sheets in 60% of their recent games, so BTTS (both teams to score) is less likely, though Bologna’s recent second‑half strikes raise its probability to around 35%. A double‑chance bet on Lazio or draw could offer value, reflecting their home resilience. Considering the trends, a recommended line could be Lazio 0‑1 Bologna, Over 0.5 for Bologna, and Under 2.5 overall. These selections align with the statistical insights while accounting for the potential late‑game impact of Bologna’s attackers.