Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Nigeria odds comparison

Sassuolo

Home Team

Fiorentina

Away Team

Saturday 6th 14:00

Compare odds from top Nigerian bookmakers.

Odds Increased Odds Decreased

Home	Draw	Away
2.70	3.20	2.58
2.75	3.30	2.65
2.70	3.20	2.63
2.80	3.34	2.80
2.71	3.28	2.66

Best Odds

Home

2.80

Draw

3.34

Away

2.80

Last odds movement 4 hours ago ( Sunday, November 30, 2025 )

Always verify odds on the bookmaker's website before placing a bet.

Match Analysis

Expert analysis and insights for this fixture

Updated Sunday, November 23, 2025 (1 week ago)

Match Preview

On 6 December 2025 Sassuolo host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash that could shape the final‑round push for both sides. Sassuolo sit on a mixed five‑match run – two wins, one draw and two defeats – scoring six and conceding four, with an average of 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Fiorentina, by contrast, have failed to win in their last five, registering two draws and three losses, scoring just four while leaking nine, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The head‑to‑head record heavily favours Sassuolo, who have won four of the five meetings, including a 5‑1 victory in April 2024. Both teams also have congested schedules, with Sassuolo set to face Pisa and Como after this game and Fiorentina travelling to AEK Athens and Atalanta. The statistical imbalance, recent home confidence and the historical dominance suggest Sassuolo enter as clear favourites, yet Fiorentina’s recent draws show they can be hard to break down. The match therefore promises a test of Sassuolo’s attacking rhythm against a Fiorentina side desperate for points.

Recent Form

Sassuolo

Sassuolo’s recent home form over the last five Serie A fixtures offers a mixed picture. In their most recent home outing on 3 November they fell 1‑2 to Genoa, with R. Malinovskyi opening the scoring for the visitors before D. Berardi equalised and L. Ostigard netting the winner at the death. Earlier, on 26 October they were beaten 0‑1 by Roma, the solitary goal coming from P. Dybala. Their last home draw came on 18 October, a goalless stalemate against Lecce, highlighting a period of defensive solidity but limited fire‑power. Across these matches Sassuolo have recorded two wins (both away), one draw and two losses when playing at home, scoring a total of two goals and conceding three, which yields an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home game. Goal contributions have been spread, with D. Berardi involved in both a goal and an assist, while L. Ostigard provided a late winner away. Defensively, the team has kept a clean sheet once but has also allowed the first goal in three of the five matches, indicating a tendency to concede early. The data suggest Sassuolo rely on moments of individual quality rather than sustained home dominance.

28 Nov 2025	Serie A	Como vs Sassuolo	2 - 0	1:0 (14.) A.Douvikas, 2:0 (53.) A.Moreno
24 Nov 2025	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Pisa	2 - 2	0:1 (4.) M.Nzola (pen), 1:1 (6.) N.Matic, 1:2 (81.) H.Meister, 2:2 (90.) K.Thorstvedt
09 Nov 2025	Serie A	Atalanta vs Sassuolo	0 - 3	0:1 (29.) D.Berardi (pen), 0:2 (47.) A.Pinamonti, 0:3 (66.) D.Berardi
03 Nov 2025	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Genoa	1 - 2	0:1 (18.) R.Malinovskyi, 1:1 (47.) D.Berardi, 1:2 (90.) L.Ostigard
30 Oct 2025	Serie A	Cagliari vs Sassuolo	1 - 2	0:1 (54.) A.Lauriente, 0:2 (65.) A.Pinamonti, 1:2 (73.) S.Esposito

Fiorentina

Fiorentina’s away record in their last five matches reveals a struggling side. The most recent away test on 22 November against Juventus ended 1‑1, with F. Kostić scoring early for the hosts before R. Mandragora equalised for Fiorentina. Prior to that, on 9 November Fiorentina drew 2‑2 away at Genoa, conceding first through L. Ostigard before responding with a penalty by A. Gudmundsson and later goals from R. Piccoli and L. Colombo. Their only away win in this span came on 6 November in the UEFA Conference League, a 2‑1 victory over Mainz, with S. Sohm and B. Hollerbach finding the net for the German side before J. Lee restored parity for Fiorentina. The remaining two away fixtures were defeats: a 0‑1 loss at home to Lecce (home fixture) and a 0‑3 away loss to Inter on 29 October, where H. Calhanoglu scored twice and P. Sucic added a third. Overall Fiorentina have recorded zero away wins, two draws and three losses, scoring four and conceding nine, which translates to 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per away game. The data underline a porous defence, especially against quality opponents, while the attack has managed sporadic breakthroughs but lacks consistency.

27 Nov 2025	UEFA Conference League	Fiorentina vs AEK Athens	0 - 1	0:1 (35.) M.Gacinovic
22 Nov 2025	Serie A	Fiorentina vs Juventus	1 - 1	0:1 (45.) F.Kostic, 1:1 (48.) R.Mandragora
09 Nov 2025	Serie A	Genoa vs Fiorentina	2 - 2	1:0 (15.) L.Ostigard, 1:1 (20.) A.Gudmundsson (pen), 1:2 (57.) R.Piccoli, 2:2 (60.) L.Colombo
06 Nov 2025	UEFA Conference League	Mainz vs Fiorentina	2 - 1	0:1 (16.) S.Sohm, 1:1 (68.) B.Hollerbach, 2:1 (90.) J.Lee
02 Nov 2025	Serie A	Fiorentina vs Lecce	0 - 1	0:1 (23.) M.Berisha

Head-to-Head Record

The historical rivalry between Sassafras and Fiorentina is heavily skewed in favour of the home side, with Sassuolo winning four of the five encounters and Fiorentina only one away triumph. Across the five meetings a total of 17 goals have been scored – 11 by Sassuolo and six by Fiorentina – giving an average of 3.4 goals per match. The most recent clash on 28 April 2024 saw Sassuolo explode for a 5‑1 victory, with early strikes from R. Sottil and L. Martinez Quarta establishing a two‑goal lead, followed by contributions from K. Thorstvedt, N. Gonzalez (twice) and A. Bark. The sole Fiorentina win came on 2 June 2023, when they turned a 1‑0 deficit into a 3‑1 comeback, thanks to a penalty by D. Berardi and two goals from N. Gonzalez. Close contests have also featured, such as the 1‑0 win for Sassuolo on 6 January 2024, secured by A. Pinamonti, and the 2‑1 home win on 7 January 2023, where D. Berardi’s penalty put Fiorentina level before N. Gonzalez clinched the winner. The earliest meeting in the dataset, on 26 February 2022, ended 2‑1 to Sassuolo with H. Traore opening the scoring. Goal‑scoring patterns show Sassuolo’s reliance on a variety of contributors – Berardi, Pinamonti and Gonzalez appear repeatedly – while Fiorentina’s successes have hinged on set‑piece conversions and late‑game resilience. This dominance, combined with a higher goal average, sets a psychological edge for Sassuolo entering the 6 December encounter.

28 Apr 2024	Serie A	Fiorentina vs Sassuolo	5 - 1	1:0 (17.) R.Sottil, 2:0 (54.) L.Martinez Quarta, 2:1 (57.) K.Thorstvedt, 3:1 (58.) N.Gonzalez, 4:1 (62.) A.Barak, 5:1 (66.) N.Gonzalez
06 Jan 2024	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Fiorentina	1 - 0	1:0 (9.) A.Pinamonti
02 Jun 2023	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Fiorentina	1 - 3	0:1 (46.) A.Cabral, 1:1 (71.) D.Berardi (pen), 1:2 (79.) R.Saponara, 1:3 (83.) N.Gonzalez
07 Jan 2023	Serie A	Fiorentina vs Sassuolo	2 - 1	1:0 (48.) R.Saponara, 1:1 (57.) D.Berardi (pen), 2:1 (90.) N.Gonzalez (pen)
26 Feb 2022	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Fiorentina	2 - 1	1:0 (19.) H.Traore, 1:1 (88.) A.Cabral, 2:1 (90.) G.Defrel

Statistical Insights

Statistical analysis highlights a clear divergence between the two sides. Sassuolo’s five‑match form yields a positive goal difference (+2) and a respectable defensive record, conceding only four goals (0.8 per game) while scoring six (1.2 per game). Their home matches, however, have been less prolific, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, suggesting a drop in attacking output when playing in front of their own fans. Fiorentina’s numbers tell the opposite story: an overall negative goal difference (‑5) and a leaky defence that has allowed nine goals in five games (1.8 per game). Their away performance mirrors this trend, with only 0.8 goals scored per match and a high concession rate. Timing data from recent fixtures shows both teams are vulnerable early – Sassuolo have conceded the opening goal in three of their last five matches, while Fiorentina have allowed first‑half goals in four of five. Set‑piece efficiency also emerges: Fiorentina’s only away goal against Juventus came from open play, but their penalty conversion (Gudmundsson vs Genoa) was decisive. In head‑to‑head meetings, Sassuolo averages 2.2 goals per game versus Fiorentina’s 1.2, reinforcing their offensive edge. The combination of Sassuolo’s tighter defence, higher scoring average at neutral venues, and Fiorentina’s struggle to keep clean sheets points to a likely low‑scoring, defensively‑oriented contest.

Upcoming Fixtures

Looking beyond the 6 December showdown, Sassuolo’s schedule tightens with two Serie A fixtures in quick succession. After hosting Fiorentina they travel to Pisa on 24 November, a home game that offers an opportunity to consolidate points, before heading away to Como on 28 November. Both opponents sit in the lower half of the table, meaning a win or draw would boost Sassuolo’s confidence and keep them clear of relegation worries. Fiorentina, meanwhile, have a demanding itinerary. Their next match is a UEFA Conference League tie at home against AEK Athens on 27 November, a test of squad depth and resilience after a tough league encounter. They then face Atalanta away on 30 November, a top‑six side that could further dent morale if results are poor. Finally, the reverse fixture against Sassuolo on 6 December completes the Serie A round‑ robin, offering Fiorentina a chance to avenge any earlier disappointment. The looming congested calendar means both clubs may rotate personnel, and the outcomes of these upcoming games will likely influence tactical approaches in the December clash.

Sassuolo

14 Dec 2025	Serie A	Milan vs Sassuolo
21 Dec 2025	Serie A	Sassuolo vs Torino

Fiorentina

11 Dec 2025	UEFA Conference League	Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
14 Dec 2025	Serie A	Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona

Match Prediction

Based on the data, Sassuolo enter the match as clear favourites. Their home side has a stronger defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and a superior overall goal average (1.2) compared to Fiorentina’s 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away. The head‑to‑head record further tilts the balance, with Sassuolo winning four of the last five meetings and scoring five goals in the most recent 5‑1 victory. Fiorentina have struggled to find the net away from home, managing only one goal in their last three away league matches. Consequently, a realistic prediction is a narrow win for Sassuolo, with a 2‑0 scoreline. The first goal is likely to come early, reflecting Fiorentina’s tendency to concede first, while a second goal may arrive in the second half as Sassuolo consolidate their lead. A clean sheet for Sassuolo aligns with their defensive consistency, and the result should keep them comfortably above the relegation zone while leaving Fiorentina’s survival hopes hanging.

Betting Insights

Betting markets should reflect the clear statistical advantage held by Sassuolo. The over/under 2.5 goals line is attractive on the under side; both teams average below 1.5 goals per game (Sassuolo 1.2, Fiorentina 0.8) and recent matches have produced few goals, with Sassuolo’s home fixtures averaging 0.7 goals per game. A Both Teams to Score – No bet also looks promising given Fiorentina’s low away scoring rate (0.8) and Sassuolo’s recent clean‑sheet at home against Lecce. For outright match result, the odds for a Sassuolo win are likely undervalued, considering their four‑to‑one dominance in the head‑to‑head record and higher defensive solidity. A correct score bet of 2‑0 offers decent returns, aligning with the predicted outcome and the teams’ scoring patterns. Meanwhile, a double‑chance (Sassuolo win or draw) provides a safety net for those wary of an upset, though the probability of a Fiorentina win appears slim at under 10 %. In‑play, watch the first 30 minutes: an early goal from Sassuolo would increase the likelihood of a second‑half goal, making a Second Half Goals – Yes market attractive.