Burnley vs Crystal Palace Nigeria odds comparison

Burnley travel to Crystal Palace on 3 December 2025 in a Premier League clash that could prove decisive for both clubs' mid‑table ambitions. Burnley’s overall form is poor – two wins from five games, no draws and three defeats, scoring only seven goals while conceding nine (1.4 goals for and 1.8 against per game). Their recent home record shows a 0‑2 loss to Chelsea, a 0‑2 defeat at Arsenal and a 2‑0 victory over Leeds United, indicating defensive frailties at Turf Moor but occasional firepower from players like L.Ugochukwu and L.Tchaouna. Crystal Palace arrive on the back of an unbeaten run – four wins and one draw, ten goals scored and just one conceded (2.0 goals for, 0.2 against per game). Their last away outings include a 2‑0 win at Wolverhampton and a 0‑3 loss at Liverpool, highlighting both potency and vulnerability. Head‑to‑head history favours Palace with two wins, one loss and two draws in five meetings, the visitors scoring nine versus Burnley’s seven. The numbers suggest a tight encounter, but Palace’s superior recent form and defensive record give them a slight edge.

Burnley’s overall numbers (2‑0‑3, 7‑9) contrast sharply with Palace’s unbeaten run (4‑1‑0, 10‑1). Burnley average 1.4 goals scored per game but concede 1.8, indicating a net negative goal difference. At home the defense has been porous, allowing six goals in three matches while scoring only two, dropping the home goal‑conceded average to 2.0 per game. Palace’s defensive record is exceptional, with only one goal conceded in their last five fixtures and an average of 0.2 per match, reflecting a disciplined back line. Offensively, Palace score early in the second half, as seen in the 63’ and 69’ strikes at Wolverhampton, whereas Burnley’s few goals have come from midfielders rather than a consistent striker. The head‑to‑head data reveal 16 total goals in five meetings (average 3.2 per game), suggesting that when these teams meet they tend to produce multiple goals, especially when Burnley’s defense is exposed. Timing anomalies include Burnley’s tendency to concede first‑half goals (Chelsea 37’, Arsenal 14’) and Palace’s ability to keep clean sheets until a sudden breakdown, as in the Liverpool defeat where all three goals arrived before half‑time. These patterns hint at a likely open contest with Palace’s defense likely to prevail unless Burnley can improve early‑game organization.

After the 3 December fixture, Burnley will travel to Brentford on 29 November before hosting Crystal Palace again on 3 December and then face Newcastle away on 6 December. The proximity of these matches means any momentum gained against Palace could carry into the Brentford and Newcastle games, making a positive result vital for morale. Palace’s schedule sees them travel to Strasbourg on 27 November in the UEFA Conference League, return for a home clash with Manchester United on 30 November, and then face Burnley away on 3 December before their next Premier League match on 30 December. The busy calendar, especially the midweek European tie, could impact squad rotation and fatigue, potentially influencing their approach against Burnley. A strong performance for either side could set the tone for the congested weeks ahead, with both clubs needing points to solidify their mid‑table positions.

Based on the data, Palace enter the match with superior form, a stellar defensive record (0.2 goals conceded per game) and an average of two goals scored. Burnley have struggled at home, scoring just two and conceding six in their last three home fixtures. The head‑to‑head suggests Palace often keep a clean sheet away, while Burnley have shown vulnerability. The most plausible outcome is a narrow win for Palace, 2‑0, with goals likely coming after the half‑hour mark, mirroring the pattern of their recent away win at Wolverhampton. Burnley may find it difficult to break down Palace’s disciplined defence, and unless they tighten at the back, they risk another clean‑sheet defeat.

The numbers point toward a low‑scoring affair with both teams likely to stay under 2.5 goals – Burnley’s home goal average (0.67) and Palace’s away defensive average (0.2) support this. An over‑2.5 bet appears risky. Both teams have a history of both scoring in head‑to‑head meetings, but Palace’s recent away clean sheets suggest BTTS (both teams to score) is less probable; a ‘No BTTS’ selection is advisable. Palace’s recent form and the 2‑0 win at Wolverhampton indicate a strong chance of a clean sheet, so a ‘Palace Clean Sheet’ market could be valuable. Considering the likely 2‑0 result, a ‘Palace –1.5’ Asian handicap offers good value. Overall, the safest line is under 2.5 goals, Palace clean sheet, and Palace –1.5.