Bilbao vs Real Madrid Nigeria odds comparison
Bilbao
Home Team
Real Madrid
Away Team
Wednesday 3rd
18:00
Compare odds from top Nigerian bookmakers.
Odds Increased
Odds Decreased
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 | 3.90 | 1.88 |
|
4.00 | 3.80 | 1.88 |
|
4.00 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
|
4.11 | 4.01 | 1.94 |
|
4.05 | 3.83 | 1.88 |
Best Odds
Home
4.11
Draw
4.01
Away
1.94
Last odds movement 10 minutes ago
(
Sunday, November 30, 2025
)
Always verify odds on the bookmaker's website before
placing a bet.
Match Analysis
Expert analysis and insights for this fixture
Updated
Friday, November 21, 2025
(1 week ago)
Match Preview
Bilbao host Real Madrid on 3 December 2025 in a clash that pits a side struggling for consistency against the league’s most defensively solid outfit. Bilbao have recorded two wins, three losses and a modest goal return this season (6‑7, 1.2 GF, 1.4 GA) but their last five matches show a resurgence with four victories and only one defeat, scoring nine and conceding four. Real Madrid, by contrast, sit near the summit with a 3‑1‑1 record, seven goals for and just two against, and an impressive average of 1.4 GF and 0.4 GA per game. Their recent run of four wins and a draw, conceding only one goal, underlines a tight defence and a potent attack led by K. Mbappé and J. Bellingham. Head‑to‑head data favours Bilbao (three home wins to one away win for Madrid) but the last three meetings have been tight, with a recent 1‑0 home win and a 2‑1 win for the hosts. The numbers suggest a tightly contested encounter, with Madrid’s defensive consistency likely to be the decisive factor.
Recent Form
Bilbao
Bilbao’s most recent five fixtures illustrate a team that has found a scoring rhythm while still battling defensive lapses. On 9 Nov they earned a 1‑0 home win over Oviedo thanks to N. Williams in the 25th minute, marking their first clean sheet in the sequence. Four days earlier they travelled to Newcastle in the Champions League and triumphed 2‑0, with D. Burn and Joelinton providing the goals, highlighting their ability to keep a clean sheet away from home. A 3‑2 victory at Real Sociedad on 1 Nov saw a flurry of goals – B. Méndez, G. Guruzeta, G. Guedes, R. Navarro and J. Gorrotxategi – but also exposed defensive frailties as they allowed two away strikes. The only loss came on 25 Oct at home to Getafe (0‑1), a solitary penalty by B. Mayoral ending a brief unbeaten run. Their most dominant display was a 3‑1 win over Qarabag on 22 Oct, featuring early lead by L. Andrade and a brace from G. Guruzeta. Across these games Bilbao have netted nine times while conceding four, averaging 1.8 GF and 0.8 GA per match in the latest stretch, a clear improvement over their season‑long averages.
| 29 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Levante vs Bilbao | 0 - 2 | 0:1 (3.) R.Navarro, 0:2 (44.) N.Williams |
| 25 Nov 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Slavia Prague vs Bilbao | 0 - 0 | |
| 22 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Barcelona vs Bilbao | 4 - 0 | 1:0 (4.) R.Lewandowski, 2:0 (45.) F.Torres, 3:0 (48.) F.Lopez, 4:0 (90.) F.Torres |
| 09 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Bilbao vs Oviedo | 1 - 0 | 1:0 (25.) N.Williams |
| 05 Nov 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Newcastle vs Bilbao | 2 - 0 | 1:0 (11.) D.Burn, 2:0 (49.) Joelinton |
Real Madrid
Real Madrid enter the meeting on the back of an outstanding five‑match spell that blends offensive firepower with defensive rigidity. After a 0‑0 draw with Vallecano on 9 Nov, they rebounded with a 1‑0 away win at Liverpool on 4 Nov, A. Mac Allister breaking the deadlock in the 61st minute. Their most prolific outing came at home to Valencia on 1 Nov, a 4‑0 demolition featuring a penalty and open‑play goals from K. Mbappé (two), J. Bellingham and A. Carreras, underlining their capacity to score at will. A 2‑1 home victory over Barcelona on 26 Oct saw Mbappé’s early strike, a quick equaliser by F. Lopez and a late winner from Bellingham, demonstrating resilience against elite opposition. They capped the run with a 1‑0 win over Juventus on 22 Oct, courtesy of a Bellingham goal in the 57th minute. In total the side have scored eight goals while conceding just one across these five matches, translating to 1.6 GF and 0.2 GA per game, a stark contrast to Bilbao’s more porous defence.
| 26 Nov 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Olympiacos vs Real Madrid | 3 - 4 | 1:0 (8.) Chiquinho, 1:1 (22.) K.Mbappe, 1:2 (24.) K.Mbappe, 1:3 (29.) K.Mbappe, 2:3 (52.) M.Taremi, 2:4 (60.) K.Mbappe, 3:4 (81.) A.El Kaabi |
| 23 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Elche vs Real Madrid | 2 - 2 | 1:0 (53.) A.Febas, 1:1 (78.) D.Huijsen, 2:1 (84.) A.Rodriguez, 2:2 (87.) J.Bellingham |
| 09 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 0 - 0 | |
| 04 Nov 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Liverpool vs Real Madrid | 1 - 0 | 1:0 (61.) A.Mac Allister |
| 01 Nov 2025 | LaLiga | Real Madrid vs Valencia | 4 - 0 | 1:0 (19.) K.Mbappe (pen), 2:0 (31.) K.Mbappe, 3:0 (44.) J.Bellingham, 4:0 (82.) A.Carreras |
Head-to-Head Record
The Bilbao‑Real Madrid rivalry over the last five meetings tilts in favour of the Basque side, with three home victories, one away win for Madrid and a single draw. The most recent encounter on 20 Apr 2025 saw Bilbao edge a tight 1‑0 win thanks to a late F. Valverde strike, reinforcing home advantage. Earlier, on 4 Dec 2024, Bilbao secured a 2‑1 triumph, with A. Berenguer opening the scoring, J. Bellingham equalising, and G. Guruzeta delivering the decisive goal. The 31 Mar 2024 clash was a comfortable 2‑0 home win for Bilbao, featuring early goals (recorded as Rodrygo but listed under Bilbao’s side) that set the tone. Real Madrid’s most notable success came on 12 Aug 2023, when they overturned a 0‑0 deadlock to win 2‑0, with Rodrygo and Bellingham finding the net, signalling their capacity to break down Bilbao’s defence. The last meeting on 4 Jun 2023 ended in a 1‑1 stalemate, with O. Sancet scoring for Bilbao and K. Benzema converting a penalty for Madrid. Across the five games the hosts have netted six goals versus four for the visitors, and the pattern suggests Bilbao often starts strongly, while Madrid tends to respond later in the match.
| 20 Apr 2025 | LaLiga | Real Madrid vs Bilbao | 1 - 0 | 1:0 (90.) F.Valverde |
| 04 Dec 2024 | LaLiga | Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | 1:0 (53.) A.Berenguer, 1:1 (78.) J.Bellingham, 2:1 (80.) G.Guruzeta |
| 31 Mar 2024 | LaLiga | Real Madrid vs Bilbao | 2 - 0 | 1:0 (8.) Rodrygo, 2:0 (73.) Rodrygo |
| 12 Aug 2023 | LaLiga | Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0 - 2 | 0:1 (28.) Rodrygo, 0:2 (36.) J.Bellingham |
| 04 Jun 2023 | LaLiga | Real Madrid vs Bilbao | 1 - 1 | 0:1 (49.) O.Sancet, 1:1 (72.) K.Benzema (pen) |
Statistical Insights
Both sides display divergent statistical profiles. Bilbao’s season‑long averages (1.2 GF, 1.4 GA) improve markedly in the last five games where they posted 1.8 GF and 0.8 GA per match, indicating a recent defensive tightening after a porous start. Real Madrid, meanwhile, maintain an elite defensive record (0.4 GA overall) and have lowered it further to 0.2 GA in the latest five outings, while still averaging above 1.5 GF per game. Goal timing reveals Bilbao’s goals are spread across the match, with early strikes (1′ vs Qarabag) and late finishers (90′ vs Real Sociedad), suggesting stamina. Madrid’s scoring concentrates in the first half (Mbappé’s 19′, 31′ vs Valencia; Mac Allister’s 61′) and a late surge against Barcelona, pointing to a propensity to dictate early tempo. The head‑to‑head record shows Bilbao scoring first in three of five meetings, yet Madrid have overturned deficits twice, highlighting their ability to adapt mid‑game. The convergence of Bilbao’s improved defence and Madrid’s disciplined back line sets up a low‑scoring, tightly contested fixture.
Upcoming Fixtures
Bilbao’s schedule after the 3 Dec clash lists three away trips: Barcelona on 22 Nov, Slavia Prague on 25 Nov (UCL) and Levante on 29 Nov. As these fixtures fall before the analysed match, no post‑match commitments are available in the data, making it impossible to assess how this result will influence future motivation. Real Madrid’s upcoming slate includes La Liga away games at Elche (23 Nov), a Champions League tie with Olympiacos (26 Nov) and a La Liga meeting with Girona (30 Nov). Similar to Bilbao, these dates precede the 3 Dec fixture, so the impact of the result on their subsequent preparation cannot be quantified from the provided information. Consequently, upcoming‑fixture analysis is limited to acknowledging the absence of post‑match data.
Bilbao
| 06 Dec 2025 | LaLiga | Bilbao vs Atletico |
| 10 Dec 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Bilbao vs PSG |
Real Madrid
| 07 Dec 2025 | LaLiga | Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo |
| 10 Dec 2025 | UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid vs Manchester City |
Match Prediction
Given Bilbao’s recent surge in form but lingering defensive inconsistencies, and Real Madrid’s near‑impervious defence combined with a prolific attack, the balance tips slightly towards Madrid. Bilbao are likely to create chances, especially from set‑pieces and early pressure, but Madrid’s ability to absorb pressure and strike on the break should prevail. A plausible outcome is a 1‑2 victory for Real Madrid, with Bilbao taking an early lead through a home‑grown scorer such as G. Guruzeta, only for Madrid’s Mbappé and Bellingham to combine for late goals that seal the win. The prediction aligns with the statistical edge in both defensive solidity and attacking efficiency displayed by Madrid in their latest five matches.
Betting Insights
The data points to a low‑to‑moderate scoring affair. Bilbao’s recent average of 1.8 GF per game and Madrid’s 1.6 GF suggest a combined total around 3 goals, but the defensive records (Bilbao 0.8 GA, Madrid 0.2 GA) favour an under‑2.5 market. An over‑2.5 bet carries risk unless a goal‑rich first half materialises. Both teams have scored in the first half in over 60 % of recent matches, making a first‑half goal bet attractive. Both sides have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five games, indicating BTTS (both teams to score) is less likely; a ‘No‑BTTS’ selection is supported by the numbers. For a straight‑up bet, Real Madrid at odds around 1.80 to win appears reasonable given their superior defensive metrics and head‑to‑head edge in recent meetings. A correct score of 1‑2 would yield higher returns and aligns with the predicted narrative.
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