Marseille vs Newcastle Nigeria odds comparison
Marseille
Home Team
Newcastle
Away Team
Tuesday 25th
20:00
Compare odds from top Nigerian bookmakers.
Odds Increased
Odds Decreased
| Home | Draw | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
|
2.95 | 3.40 | 2.41 |
|
2.80 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
|
2.94 | 3.52 | 2.59 |
|
2.93 | 3.46 | 2.50 |
Best Odds
Home
2.95
Draw
3.52
Away
2.59
Last odds movement 10 hours ago
(
Saturday, November 22, 2025
)
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Match Analysis
Expert analysis and insights for this fixture
Updated
Friday, November 21, 2025
(2 days ago)
Match Preview
Marseille host Newcastle on 25 November 2025 in a UEFA Champions League group fixture that could shape the second half of the campaign for both clubs.
Marseille enter the match with a mixed domestic run – two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five games, scoring seven and conceding five, averaging 1.4 goals per match while allowing just one per game on average.
Newcastle’s recent form is slightly stronger, with three wins and two losses, eight goals scored and seven conceded, and a higher scoring average of 1.6.
The teams have only met twice, both in the 2004 UEFA Cup, when Marseille won 2‑0 at home and the second encounter ended 0‑0.
The historical record therefore favours the French side, but Newcastle’s more recent attacking output and ability to win away in England suggest a competitive contest.
With Marseille’s next Ligue 1 game against Nice and Newcastle’s Premier League clash with Manchester City looming, both will be eager to secure three points to maintain momentum.
Marseille enter the match with a mixed domestic run – two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five games, scoring seven and conceding five, averaging 1.4 goals per match while allowing just one per game on average.
Newcastle’s recent form is slightly stronger, with three wins and two losses, eight goals scored and seven conceded, and a higher scoring average of 1.6.
The teams have only met twice, both in the 2004 UEFA Cup, when Marseille won 2‑0 at home and the second encounter ended 0‑0.
The historical record therefore favours the French side, but Newcastle’s more recent attacking output and ability to win away in England suggest a competitive contest.
With Marseille’s next Ligue 1 game against Nice and Newcastle’s Premier League clash with Manchester City looming, both will be eager to secure three points to maintain momentum.
Recent Form
Marseille:
Marseille’s home form over the last five matches shows a blend of dominance and vulnerability.
On 8 November they beat Stade Brest 29 3‑0 at the Stade Velodrome, with goals from A. Gomes (25′), a penalty by M. Greenwood (33′) and P. Aubameyang (82′).
The following week, on 5 November, they were undone 0‑1 by Atalanta in the Champions League, conceding a late strike from L. Samardzic at the 90th minute.
Earlier, on 1 November, Marseille lost 0‑1 away to Auxerre, the decisive goal coming from A. Gomes (30′) for the visitors.
A home draw on 29 October against Angers (2‑2) featured an early concession to S. Cherif (25′) before R. Vaz equalised (52′) and reclaimed the lead (70′), only for O. Camara to equalise in stoppage time (90′).
Their most recent away fixture on 25 October versus Lens ended in a 1‑2 defeat, despite O. Edouard’s penalty (23′) and a B. Pavard own‑goal (53′) that briefly levelled the score.
Across these five games Marseille have scored seven goals, conceded five, recorded two wins, one draw and two losses, and maintain an average of 1.4 goals scored and one conceded per match, indicating a solid defence at home but occasional lapses.
On 8 November they beat Stade Brest 29 3‑0 at the Stade Velodrome, with goals from A. Gomes (25′), a penalty by M. Greenwood (33′) and P. Aubameyang (82′).
The following week, on 5 November, they were undone 0‑1 by Atalanta in the Champions League, conceding a late strike from L. Samardzic at the 90th minute.
Earlier, on 1 November, Marseille lost 0‑1 away to Auxerre, the decisive goal coming from A. Gomes (30′) for the visitors.
A home draw on 29 October against Angers (2‑2) featured an early concession to S. Cherif (25′) before R. Vaz equalised (52′) and reclaimed the lead (70′), only for O. Camara to equalise in stoppage time (90′).
Their most recent away fixture on 25 October versus Lens ended in a 1‑2 defeat, despite O. Edouard’s penalty (23′) and a B. Pavard own‑goal (53′) that briefly levelled the score.
Across these five games Marseille have scored seven goals, conceded five, recorded two wins, one draw and two losses, and maintain an average of 1.4 goals scored and one conceded per match, indicating a solid defence at home but occasional lapses.
Newcastle:
Newcastle’s recent away record is characterised by three defeats and two victories, yet their overall performance remains positive.
On 9 November they travelled to Brentford and fell 1‑3, with H. Barnes putting Brentford ahead (27′) and I. Thiago adding two late goals (78′ pen, 90′) after K. Schade’s equaliser for Newcastle (56′).
Their next away test on 2 November at West Ham resulted in another 1‑3 loss; J. Murphy opened the scoring (4′) and T. Soucek sealed the win (90′) while L. Paqueta’s strike (35′) gave Newcastle a brief lead before an own‑goal by S. Botman (45′) restored West Ham’s advantage.
The two away defeats are offset by a strong home run: a 2‑0 victory over Bilbao on 5 November with D. Burn (11′) and Joelinton (49′) finding the net, and a 2‑0 win against Tottenham on 29 October through F. Schar (24′) and N. Woltemade (50′).
Their most recent home match on 25 October saw a 2‑1 triumph over Fulham, highlighted by J. Murphy’s opener (18′) and a dramatic 90′ winner from B. Guimaraes after S. Lukic’s equaliser (56′).
In total Newcastle have netted eight goals and allowed seven, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, suggesting a capable attack but a defence that can be breached on the road.
On 9 November they travelled to Brentford and fell 1‑3, with H. Barnes putting Brentford ahead (27′) and I. Thiago adding two late goals (78′ pen, 90′) after K. Schade’s equaliser for Newcastle (56′).
Their next away test on 2 November at West Ham resulted in another 1‑3 loss; J. Murphy opened the scoring (4′) and T. Soucek sealed the win (90′) while L. Paqueta’s strike (35′) gave Newcastle a brief lead before an own‑goal by S. Botman (45′) restored West Ham’s advantage.
The two away defeats are offset by a strong home run: a 2‑0 victory over Bilbao on 5 November with D. Burn (11′) and Joelinton (49′) finding the net, and a 2‑0 win against Tottenham on 29 October through F. Schar (24′) and N. Woltemade (50′).
Their most recent home match on 25 October saw a 2‑1 triumph over Fulham, highlighted by J. Murphy’s opener (18′) and a dramatic 90′ winner from B. Guimaraes after S. Lukic’s equaliser (56′).
In total Newcastle have netted eight goals and allowed seven, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, suggesting a capable attack but a defence that can be breached on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical rivalry between Marseille and Newcastle is limited to two UEFA Cup encounters in the 2003‑04 season, both of which were played over a decade ago.
The first meeting on 22 April 2004 ended in a 0‑0 stalemate, a tightly contested match in which neither side managed to break the deadlock despite several chances.
The second fixture, held on 6 May 2004, saw Marseille assert their dominance at home, winning 2‑0 thanks to a pair of goals from Didier Drogba, who struck in the 18th and 82nd minutes.
These results give Marseille a perfect record in the head‑to‑head, with one win and one draw, and a cumulative goal tally of two‑zero.
No Newcastle player has ever found the net against Marseille in these meetings, and the French side has never suffered a defeat in the two‑match sample.
While the small sample size limits any robust statistical inference, the outcomes highlight Marseille’s historical ability to control games against Newcastle, particularly when playing at home.
The 2004 fixtures also underline a pattern of early control (Drogba’s opening goal) and late consolidation (second goal in the 82nd minute).
For the upcoming Champions League clash, the historical edge belongs to Marseille, yet both clubs must consider the evolution of squads, tactics and current form, which have changed dramatically since those early‑2000s encounters.
The lack of recent meetings means the psychological impact of the old results is likely muted, but the data still provides a narrative of Marseille’s superiority in past European ties.
The first meeting on 22 April 2004 ended in a 0‑0 stalemate, a tightly contested match in which neither side managed to break the deadlock despite several chances.
The second fixture, held on 6 May 2004, saw Marseille assert their dominance at home, winning 2‑0 thanks to a pair of goals from Didier Drogba, who struck in the 18th and 82nd minutes.
These results give Marseille a perfect record in the head‑to‑head, with one win and one draw, and a cumulative goal tally of two‑zero.
No Newcastle player has ever found the net against Marseille in these meetings, and the French side has never suffered a defeat in the two‑match sample.
While the small sample size limits any robust statistical inference, the outcomes highlight Marseille’s historical ability to control games against Newcastle, particularly when playing at home.
The 2004 fixtures also underline a pattern of early control (Drogba’s opening goal) and late consolidation (second goal in the 82nd minute).
For the upcoming Champions League clash, the historical edge belongs to Marseille, yet both clubs must consider the evolution of squads, tactics and current form, which have changed dramatically since those early‑2000s encounters.
The lack of recent meetings means the psychological impact of the old results is likely muted, but the data still provides a narrative of Marseille’s superiority in past European ties.
Statistical Insights
Analyzing the numbers from the last five matches for each side reveals contrasting trends.
Marseille’s attack has produced seven goals, with a noticeable reliance on set‑piece conversion – M. Greenwood’s penalty against Brest and O. Edouard’s spot‑kick versus Lens accounted for two of the six Marseille goals.
R. Vaz contributed a brace in the draw with Angers, showing his potential as a goal‑getter.
Defensively, Marseille have conceded five, but three of those goals came in away fixtures (Atalanta, Auxerre, Lens), indicating a more solid home defensive record, reflected in the one‑goal‑per‑match average against home opponents.
Newcastle, by contrast, have scored eight goals with a spread of scorers – four different players have found the net, suggesting a diversified attack.
However, their defence has allowed seven goals, and both away defeats featured conceding three goals, pointing to vulnerability when playing on the road.
Timing of goals also offers insight: Marseille’s goals often arrive early or just before halftime (25′, 33′, 52′, 70′), while Newcastle’s away goals have tended to be late equalisers or winners (56′, 90′).
The data suggests a match where Marseille’s home solidity could limit Newcastle’s high‑scoring potential, but Newcastle’s ability to score early or late could keep the contest open.
Marseille’s attack has produced seven goals, with a noticeable reliance on set‑piece conversion – M. Greenwood’s penalty against Brest and O. Edouard’s spot‑kick versus Lens accounted for two of the six Marseille goals.
R. Vaz contributed a brace in the draw with Angers, showing his potential as a goal‑getter.
Defensively, Marseille have conceded five, but three of those goals came in away fixtures (Atalanta, Auxerre, Lens), indicating a more solid home defensive record, reflected in the one‑goal‑per‑match average against home opponents.
Newcastle, by contrast, have scored eight goals with a spread of scorers – four different players have found the net, suggesting a diversified attack.
However, their defence has allowed seven goals, and both away defeats featured conceding three goals, pointing to vulnerability when playing on the road.
Timing of goals also offers insight: Marseille’s goals often arrive early or just before halftime (25′, 33′, 52′, 70′), while Newcastle’s away goals have tended to be late equalisers or winners (56′, 90′).
The data suggests a match where Marseille’s home solidity could limit Newcastle’s high‑scoring potential, but Newcastle’s ability to score early or late could keep the contest open.
Upcoming Fixtures
After the 25 November Champions League showdown, both clubs have demanding schedules.
Marseille’s next commitment arrives just four days later on 29 November when they travel to Nice for a Ligue 1 clash, a match that could be pivotal for their domestic standing and will test the squad’s recovery after mid‑week European action.
Their following league fixtures include a home game against Toulouse on 29 November, providing an opportunity to bounce back if the Champions League result is unfavorable.
Newcastle’s calendar is equally tight: on 22 November they host Manchester City in the Premier League, a high‑profile encounter that will demand full focus and could affect their preparation for the Champions League tie.
The return leg against Marseille on 25 November (away) will be followed by a Premier League away fixture at Everton on 29 November, meaning the English side must manage squad rotation and travel fatigue.
The outcomes of the Champions League match are likely to influence confidence levels heading into these fixtures, with a positive result boosting morale for the upcoming league challenges, while a setback could add pressure ahead of the City showdown.
Marseille’s next commitment arrives just four days later on 29 November when they travel to Nice for a Ligue 1 clash, a match that could be pivotal for their domestic standing and will test the squad’s recovery after mid‑week European action.
Their following league fixtures include a home game against Toulouse on 29 November, providing an opportunity to bounce back if the Champions League result is unfavorable.
Newcastle’s calendar is equally tight: on 22 November they host Manchester City in the Premier League, a high‑profile encounter that will demand full focus and could affect their preparation for the Champions League tie.
The return leg against Marseille on 25 November (away) will be followed by a Premier League away fixture at Everton on 29 November, meaning the English side must manage squad rotation and travel fatigue.
The outcomes of the Champions League match are likely to influence confidence levels heading into these fixtures, with a positive result boosting morale for the upcoming league challenges, while a setback could add pressure ahead of the City showdown.
Match Prediction
Considering Marseille’s solid home average of one goal conceded per match and Newcastle’s tendency to leak three goals in away defeats, the numbers suggest a tightly contested game with a slight edge to the hosts.
Marseille have shown the ability to score early, as evidenced by the 25′ and 33′ strikes against Brest, while Newcastle’s best away performances have relied on late goals, which may be harder to replicate under the pressure of a Champions League night.
A realistic forecast is a 1‑1 draw, with Marseille likely to open the scoring through a set‑piece or a quick counter‑attack, and Newcastle equalising via a disciplined build‑up in the second half.
Both sides have demonstrated the capacity to find the net, but neither has consistently dominated away or at home in recent form.
Therefore, a shared point seems the most probable outcome, keeping the group table balanced and preserving both teams’ chances of progressing.
Marseille have shown the ability to score early, as evidenced by the 25′ and 33′ strikes against Brest, while Newcastle’s best away performances have relied on late goals, which may be harder to replicate under the pressure of a Champions League night.
A realistic forecast is a 1‑1 draw, with Marseille likely to open the scoring through a set‑piece or a quick counter‑attack, and Newcastle equalising via a disciplined build‑up in the second half.
Both sides have demonstrated the capacity to find the net, but neither has consistently dominated away or at home in recent form.
Therefore, a shared point seems the most probable outcome, keeping the group table balanced and preserving both teams’ chances of progressing.
Betting Insights
From a betting perspective the match offers several appealing markets.
The over/under 2.5 goals line leans towards the under, given Marseille’s average of 1.4 goals scored at home and Newcastle’s recent away record of conceding three in each of their two defeats – a total of six goals conceded in ten away minutes, suggesting a low‑scoring affair.
Both teams have recorded BTTS (both teams to score) in only one of their last five games each (Marseille 2‑2 with Angers, Newcastle 1‑3 losses), indicating a moderate probability of both sides finding the net, perhaps around 35‑40 %.
A double‑chance bet on Marseille or a draw (1X) offers good value, reflecting their home defensive stability and Newcastle’s recent away struggles.
For the correct score, a 1‑1 result aligns with the statistical insights and the prediction.
Finally, an Asian handicap of Marseille –0.25 could be attractive, as a win or draw would secure a positive return.
Overall, the market signals a cautious approach, favouring under 2.5 goals and a safe bet on Marseille + draw.
The over/under 2.5 goals line leans towards the under, given Marseille’s average of 1.4 goals scored at home and Newcastle’s recent away record of conceding three in each of their two defeats – a total of six goals conceded in ten away minutes, suggesting a low‑scoring affair.
Both teams have recorded BTTS (both teams to score) in only one of their last five games each (Marseille 2‑2 with Angers, Newcastle 1‑3 losses), indicating a moderate probability of both sides finding the net, perhaps around 35‑40 %.
A double‑chance bet on Marseille or a draw (1X) offers good value, reflecting their home defensive stability and Newcastle’s recent away struggles.
For the correct score, a 1‑1 result aligns with the statistical insights and the prediction.
Finally, an Asian handicap of Marseille –0.25 could be attractive, as a win or draw would secure a positive return.
Overall, the market signals a cautious approach, favouring under 2.5 goals and a safe bet on Marseille + draw.